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NEXTNext: TMRW 09:00
10Y4.38-2·2Y4.07-2·CURVE+31
VIX17.65-4.1%·NORMAL
DIX0.437·GEX+4B
TERMSTEEP·MACRO2/2 HOT
APIFY$29.08/$29100%PROJ +$34
LIVE
HIT37%/ 358
// 0DTE OPTIONS DECISION ENGINE

Decide before the bell._

Fundamentals + news sentiment + macro regime → a single decisive ticket per ticker. No technicals. No price action. Just the data the desk would actually use.

HIT-RATE37%/ 131/358
// MORNING DESK BRIEF
ECON CALENDAR · USD · NEXT 7D
[8 EVENTS]
[MEDIUM]Tue 10:00 ET
CB Consumer Confidence
FCST/PREV
94.2 / 93.1
[MEDIUM]Wed 08:15 ET
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
FCST/PREV
118K / 122K
[HIGH]Wed 09:00 ET
Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks
FCST/PREV
/ —
[HIGH]Wed 10:00 ET
ISM Manufacturing PMI
FCST/PREV
53.7 / 54.0
[MEDIUM]Wed 10:00 ET
ISM Manufacturing Prices
FCST/PREV
79.0 / 82.1
[HIGH]Thu 08:30 ET
Non-Farm Employment Change
FCST/PREV
114K / 172K
[HIGH]Thu 08:30 ET
Unemployment Rate
FCST/PREV
4.3% / 4.3%
[MEDIUM]Thu 08:30 ET
Unemployment Claims
FCST/PREV
220K / 215K
EARNINGS · WATCHLIST · NEXT 14D
[0 EVENTS]
No earnings in your watchlist within the next 14 days.
TWITTER / X MONITORLIVE
DATAAPIFYCLAUDE
LAST POLL
2m ago
NEW LAST CYCLE
0
ALERTS LAST CYCLE
0
TOTAL ALERTS
20997
MONITORING@realDonaldTrump@elonmusk@federalreserve@DeItaone@financialjuice@investinglive_@zerohedge@KobeissiLetter@MacroAlf@AndreasSteno@spotgamma@unusual_whales@Tier1Alpha@CheddarFlow@LizAnnSonders@sentdefender@menthorq@SqueezeMetrics@FirstSquawk@newsquawk@LiveSquawk@biancoresearch@FedGuy12@Brad_Setser@MichaelKantro@charliebilello@SoberLook@hkuppy@SantiagoAuFund@stevenstrazza· min conf 65%
@firstsquawkHIGHBEAR78USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
United Arab Emirates: The Iranian aggressive attacks represent a blatant violation of Bahrain's sovereignty and a threat to its security and stability.
→ UAE condemns Iranian attacks on Bahrain - Gulf escalation threatens oil transit routes, regional stability
@firstsquawkHIGHMIXED78USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
United Arab Emirates strongly condemns the aggressive Iranian attacks on Bahrain using drones.
→ Iran-Bahrain drone escalation; UAE condemns. Oil/defense bid, risk-off pressure on equities likely.
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED68USOXLEEEM2d ago→ ALERT
Lebanese House Speaker Warns of the Danger of Sectarian Strife in the Country
→ Lebanon sectarian tensions; minor oil/EM risk premium possible if escalates regionally
@firstsquawkHIGHBEAR78USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Kuwait condemns the Iranian aggression on Bahraini territories and considers it a dangerous undermining of efforts for peace and stability and a threat to regional security.
→ Kuwait condemns Iranian aggression on Bahrain—Gulf escalation risk, oil volatility likely
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR72QQQNVDAMSFT2d ago→ ALERT
CHINESE HEDGE FUNDS WARN AI ‘SUPER BUBBLE’ NEARS BURSTING POINT Two prominent Chinese hedge fund managers are warn… https://x.com/i/web/status/2070821844438106488
→ Chinese hedge funds warn AI bubble near burst; risk-off tech/semis if sentiment shifts broader
@firstsquawkINFO252d ago
German Foreign Minister: We support the implementation of the agreement between Israel and Lebanon, and the Lebanese state's monopoly on the use of force is crucial.
→ German FM statement on Israel-Lebanon agreement; low US market relevance
@firstsquawkINFO252d ago
German Foreign Minister: The agreement between Israel and Lebanon enhances the security of both countries and opens an opportunity to resolve a conflict that has lasted for decades.
→ Generic diplomatic statement on Israel-Lebanon agreement; no actionable market catalyst
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Member of Iran's Expediency Discernment Council: The response to any violation of the terms of the memorandum of understanding will be swift and devastating.
→ Iran official threatens swift/devastating response to MOU violation—oil supply risk, equity downside
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Member of Iran's Assembly for the Discernment of Expediency: Washington has violated the first clause of the memorandum by continuing to stoke tensions in the Strait of Hormuz
→ Iran official accuses US of violating memo re Strait of Hormuz tensions—oil supply risk escalation watch
@firstsquawkINFO252d ago
Member of Iran's Assembly for the Discernment of Expediency: Washington violated the first clause of the memorandum by supporting the actions of its Israeli agent
→ Iranian official rhetoric on US-Israel; no actionable policy change or escalation signal.
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Iranian Supreme Leader's Advisor: The response to any violation of the memorandum of understanding's provisions will be swift and devastating
→ Iran threatens swift retaliation over MOU violation; oil/defense watch, risk-off if escalates
@firstsquawkWARNBULL72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Iranian Supreme Leader's Advisor: Washington violated the first clause of the memorandum of understanding by continuing to stir tensions in the Strait of Hormuz
→ Iran accuses US of violating MOU over Hormuz tensions; oil supply risk premium likely
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Iranian Supreme Leader's Advisor: Washington violated the first clause of the memorandum of understanding by supporting its Israeli proxy's actions in the region
→ Iran signals US-Iran accord breach over Israel actions; oil/geopolitical risk premium likely
@financialjuiceWARNBULL62XLEUSOSPY2d ago
Tehran-Dubai flights to restart from July 1: Iran civil aviation| FJ
→ Tehran-Dubai flights restart Jul 1 signals Iran diplomatic thaw; potential easing geopolitical oil premium
@financialjuiceWARNBULL68XLEUSOOIH2d ago→ ALERT
Tehran-Dubai flights to restart from July 1: Iran civil aviation
→ Iran-Dubai flights resume July 1: regional normalization may ease oil premium, boost airlines/aerospace exposure
@walter_bloombergHIGHBULL82USOXLEOIH2d ago→ ALERT
🚨 REZAEI, ADVISOR TO IRAN'S SUPREME LEADER, SAYS U.S. HAS VIOLATED WAR-ENDING MEMORANDUM BY CREATING TENSIONS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ @walter_bloomberg | Source
→ Iran advisor accuses US of Hormuz tensions, threatens oil transit chokepoint. Energy spike risk.
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR72SPYUSOXLE2d ago→ ALERT
Israeli drone strikes target Nabatiyeh area in southern Lebanon - Lebanese state news agency
→ Israel strikes Lebanon; regional escalation risk → defense bid, oil spike, broad risk-off pressure
@financialjuiceWARNMIXED62XLEUSOITA2d ago
Israeli drone strikes target Nabatiyeh area in southern Lebanon: Lebanese state news agency| FJ
→ Israel-Lebanon escalation drone strike; defense stocks up, oil risk premium, regional tension watch
@financialjuiceWARNMIXED62XLEUSOITA2d ago
Israeli drone strikes target Nabatiyeh area in southern Lebanon: Lebanese state news agency
→ Israel-Lebanon drone strikes; oil/defense upside, risk-off rotation risk if escalates
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR72SPYUSOXLE2d ago→ ALERT
Rezaei: reaction to any breach of memorandum will be rapid and resolute
→ Iranian official threatens rapid retaliation for memo breach - geopolitical risk escalation, oil/defense sensitivity
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Rezaei, advisor to Iran’s supreme leader: U.S. breaches peace memorandum by escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz
→ Iran advisor claims U.S. escalating Hormuz tensions—oil risk-on, equity risk-off if strait threatened
@deitaoneHIGHBEAR78USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
REZAEI, ADVISOR TO IRAN'S SUPREME LEADER, SAYS U.S. HAS VIOLATED WAR-ENDING MEMORANDUM BY CREATING TENSIONS IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ
→ Iran advisor claims US violated Hormuz accord—oil risk premium spike, equity weakness likely
@financialjuiceWARNBEAR72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Rezaei: reaction to any breach of memorandum will be rapid and resolute| FJ
→ Iran VP Rezaei warns rapid response to memorandum breach—geopolitical risk flare, oil/defense play
@financialjuiceWARNBEAR72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Rezaei, advisor to Iran’s supreme leader: U.S. breaches peace memorandum by escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz| FJ
→ Iran advisor claims US breach in Hormuz; oil supply risk, equity downside if tensions escalate
@financialjuiceWARNBEAR68USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Rezaei: reaction to any breach of memorandum will be rapid and resolute
→ Iranian official threatens rapid retaliation to memo breach—geopolitical risk spike, oil-sensitive
@financialjuiceWARNBEAR72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Rezaei, advisor to Iran’s supreme leader: U.S. breaches peace memorandum by escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz
→ Iran advisor warns U.S. breaching Hormuz peace memo—oil supply risk, risk-off positioning likely
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR72SPYUSOITA2d ago→ ALERT
Israeli drone strike on the outskirts of the town of Nabatieh al-Fawqa in southern Lebanon
→ Israeli drone strike southern Lebanon escalation - geopolitical risk premium, energy/defense watch
@sentdefenderWARNBULL68USOGLDXLE2d ago→ ALERT
Bahrain has announced and condemned an Iranian attack early Saturday morning involving several one-way attack drone… https://x.com/i/web/status/2070809157813301729
→ Iran drone attack on Bahrain; oil/gold bid on ME escalation risk, geopolitical premium
@firstsquawkINFO152d ago
UKMTO: No environmental damage reported currently
→ UKMTO reports no environmental damage - lacks context for market impact
@firstsquawkWARNBULL68XLEUSOEURN2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO reports vessel damage to bridge; all crew reported safe
→ Vessel bridge damage (UKMTO); crew safe. Potential Red Sea/shipping disruption -> oil/tanker upside if escalation.
@firstsquawkWARNBULL72USOXLECL=F2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO: Master of tanker reports being hit by unidentified projectile
→ Tanker hit by projectile (UKMTO); potential oil supply disruption, risk premium likely.
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED72USOXLECL=F2d ago→ ALERT
British Maritime Authority: No reports of environmental impacts following attack on oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz
→ Hormuz tanker attack w/ no enviro damage - initial oil spike risk fades but geopolitical premium persists
@firstsquawkHIGHBULL82USOXLEOXY2d ago→ ALERT
British Maritime Authority: Oil tanker reports being targeted in Strait of Hormuz by unknown projectile
→ Tanker attacked Strait of Hormuz - oil supply disruption risk, energy spike likely
@firstsquawkHIGHBULL78USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
British Maritime Authority: Report of a new incident in the Strait of Hormuz
→ Strait of Hormuz incident: oil disruption risk, energy sector spike likely, safe-haven bid
@financialjuiceINFO202d ago
UKMTO: No environmental damage reported currently| FJ
→ UKMTO environmental update - no market relevance
@financialjuiceINFO302d ago
UKMTO: No environmental damage reported currently
→ UKMTO environmental damage update - no immediate market implication
@financialjuiceHIGHBULL75USOXLECL=F2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO reports vessel damage to bridge; all crew reported safe| FJ
→ Vessel damaged in Hormuz, crew safe; supply route disruption supports energy
@financialjuiceWARNBULL72USOXLECL=F2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO reports incident in Strait of Hormuz| FJ
→ Strait of Hormuz incident reported; oil chokepoint risk premium likely
@financialjuiceHIGHBULL78USOXLECL=F2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO: Master of tanker reports being hit by unidentified projectile| FJ
→ Tanker hit by projectile in Hormuz; escalation risk drives oil higher
@financialjuiceWARNBULL62USOXLEEURN2d ago
UKMTO reports vessel damage to bridge; all crew reported safe
→ UKMTO vessel bridge damage; crew safe. Shipping lane disruption risk supports oil/tanker equities near-term.
@financialjuiceWARNBULL68USOXLEBNO2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO: Master of tanker reports being hit by unidentified projectile
→ Tanker hit by projectile (UKMTO); shipping risk → oil supply concern, energy sector bounce
@financialjuiceWARNBULL72USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
UKMTO reports incident in Strait of Hormuz
→ Strait of Hormuz incident reported by UKMTO; oil supply risk premium likely
@firstsquawkINFO252d ago
Sudanese army support forces enter the Abu Qamra area in northern Darfur
→ Sudan conflict escalation; minimal direct US equity impact
@firstsquawkWARNBULL68EWIILBOIH2d ago→ ALERT
UAE Foreign Minister Praises Efforts of Lebanese and Israeli Governments to Reach a Framework Agreement
→ UAE praises Lebanon-Israel framework agreement; potential de-escalation in Middle East, modest oil/defense pullback, regional stability play
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED68FXIBABAKWEB2d ago→ ALERT
Several advisers to the Chinese government are calling on officials to fix the growing divergence within the economy as artificial intelligence pushes high-tech sectors to outperform, while domestic consumer spending languishes
→ China advisers flag AI/tech outperformance vs weak consumer spending divergence—signals policy shift possible
@firstsquawkWARNBEAR68USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
Bahrain affirms that the Iranian aggressions reveal an approach based on undermining security, exporting chaos, and undermining regional stability
→ Bahrain accuses Iran of regional aggression; heightens Middle East tension, oil-supply risk watchlist
@firstsquawkINFO252d ago
Over 50,000 people missing after Venezuela quakes: UN aid chief to AFP
→ Venezuela earthquake humanitarian crisis; minimal direct US market impact
@firstsquawkWARNBULL72KWEBMCHIBABA2d ago→ ALERT
ByteDance sidelines listing as China's first $1 trillion valuation nears With economy showing resilience, hopes for bullish sentiment for shares are rising
→ ByteDance nearing $1T valuation signals China tech strength; bullish sentiment rising with economic resilience
@firstsquawkHIGHMIXED85USOXLESPY2d ago→ ALERT
The statement came hours after the United States said it had struck Iranian missile, drone and radar sites in southern Iran in response to what it described as an Iranian drone attack on the Singapore-flagged container ship Ever Lovely in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran, in turn, said…
→ US strikes Iran missile/radar sites after Hormuz drone attack on container ship; oil spike risk, defense pop, supply chain concern
@firstsquawkWARNMIXED72USOXLELMT2d ago→ ALERT
Bahrain condemned an Iranian drone attack targeting its territory early on Saturday, accusing Tehran of violating its sovereignty and breaching the US-Iran memorandum of understanding reached this month.
→ Iran drone attack on Bahrain violates US-Iran MOU; geopolitical risk premium in oil, defense. Watch crude gap.
Not investment advice. 0DTE options carry substantial risk. Data: Yahoo Finance, RSS feeds, Claude Sonnet 4.5, Gemini 2.5 Flash.
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